Content's desire to be free: pay-per-view
Content is meant to be free. Content will find ways to be free. Every technology that enables mass communication will be used to drive down the cost of content to free. I never thought this was more true than last night where I was watching a streamed version of the UFC fights on one screen, following the Mayweather/Marquez fight via Twitter on my iPhone and seeing literally hundreds of links that allowed you to link up to watch either of the fight cards for free on the internet. It is my estimation that there were millions of dollars lost to boxing and the UFC last night. While I won't go into the legality, nor ethics of this practice, it just stands out that content will finds ways to be free.
Based on my previous description, you probably think that I was sitting at home on my computer watching the events. This was not the case. I was at a bar that was streaming the fight. I could not believe that a bar was streaming the event (don't know why I was so surprised). Occasionally, one of the my friends or I will host a fight, but at $50 per fight, plus beer at home, it can get to a $100 evening easily. It's cheaper/easier to venture out to local bars and in exchange for their showing the fights, we buy slightly overpriced beers. As soon as I sat down last night, I noticed this was streaming event. I mentioned it to my friend and he said that he had noticed it here during the last fights (which I was not at). A bar, making money AND advertising the fights for a point of difference in the market was streaming these gratis from the web. Amazing.
While I was watching the UFC on one screen, I was keeping up with the Mayweather/Marquez fight via Twitter. As I was watching the tweets come through, there were literally hundreds that were providing links to begin watching the content for free. While I have known this occurs, the mass of availability and ease of locating it has never been easier. With Twitter, there is now a quick to market, mass media, immediately searchable method to provide illegal content to scale audiences. I was thinking this must be costing these promoters/sponsors millions of dollars and it does.
Let's do some back of the envelope math. First, these pay-per-view type events are charged on a premium bases to public places. They can advertise that they are showing the events and draw larger number of crowds, even charge cover for admission. In exchange, the bar pays more for the PPV event. I don't know the exact formula or cost, but my understanding is that price is based on capacity. One forum response that I found said that for a 120 capacity venue, it would cost $850 to show a UFC event. I'll stick with that number. For simple math said, let's say that 100 bars nationally (US only), decided to illicitly stream this. Loss to UFC, 85k. Let's say that 10k individuals streamed it at home, another 500k lost at $50 per household (US only). The fighter's contracts, especially the big names, compensation packages are based on the number of pay-per-view sales. Even with a conservative number, as I used above, you can see how this could possibly escalate to the millions quickly, pick pocketing fighters, promoters, sponsors and sanctioning bodies.
The quality of the content did not matter. The quality of the streaming content wasn't great. It was slightly pixelated, a bit grainy and choppy at times. However, it was free. We see this all the time with heisted movies on the interwebs, clips on YouTube and so forth. The quality of the content can be less than perfect if it's the perfect price, free. We want content and expect it to be free. Lucky for us, there has never been easier access to free content, nor easier ways to distribute that content over high speed networks than there is today. Networks, distribution and sharing options have never been more ubiquitous than they are today. The bad news is that this behavior will be easier to reproduce as technology matures. As much as content providers try to continue to charge for programming, content will find a way to be free.
I wasn't surprised by the activity of programming actually being heisted. However, I was surprised by was the sheer volume of people sharing the content through Twitter. Twitter is the perfect medium to share out access to this content, achieving search-ability, immediacy and scale. The lesson is that content will be free. It will find new ways to be free. We expect it to be free. It wants to be free. The technology is just delivering on our expectations.
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